Seeking doctoral research positions · Entering class of 2027
43.6591°N, 70.2568°W — Portland, Maine

Justin Guthrie

Mapping what connects — and what breaks.

I study how infrastructure systems depend on each other, and how those hidden connections shape what happens when something breaks. From satellite embeddings to power grids to rail networks, my work maps the interdependencies that traditional analysis misses. Currently Co-Founder and GIS Lead at Enodia, Research Associate at Northeastern University's Sustainability and Data Sciences Lab, and Research Assistant in the GeoAI and Earth Observation Research Group at George Mason University. (Updated August 2026)

Justin Guthrie

Work

Organized by research question, not employer

I · Satellite intelligence & geospatial AI

Understanding the Earth

Making sense of how foundation models encode planetary information. Opening the black box of satellite embeddings to understand what machines see when they look at Earth.

Infra-Bench CLS: A Global, Open-Source Benchmark for Critical Infrastructure Classification with Earth Observation Foundation Models

Lead Author · GeoAI and Earth Observation Research Group, George Mason University
2026–PresentIn Progress

A global, open-source benchmark for classifying critical infrastructure from space: 18,756 tiles spanning seven continents, built on Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 imagery with OpenStreetMap-derived weak labels, evaluating seven foundation model backbones across 10 infrastructure classes. The strongest backbone reaches 57.9% macro F1 against a 39.2% ResNet-18 baseline. The more interesting result is the spread across sectors: transport and data centers are read reliably from orbit (airports 85.3%, train stations 82.1%, data centers 77.6%), while power-sector classes sit between 27.5% and 46.2%. Which infrastructure is legible from orbit turns out to depend sharply on what kind of infrastructure it is.

Earth ObservationFoundation ModelsBenchmarkingSentinel-1/2OpenStreetMapCritical Infrastructure
38.8315°N, 77.3080°WGeorge Mason University, Fairfax, VAresearch base
In preparation · preprint forthcoming

Transmission Tower Detection at National Scale

Co-First Author · GeoAI and Earth Observation Research Group, George Mason University
2026–PresentIn Progress

Deep learning detection of electricity transmission towers at national scale, with Ed Oughton at George Mason University. More to come.

Deep LearningObject DetectionEarth ObservationElectricity Networks
38.8315°N, 77.3080°WGeorge Mason University, Fairfax, VAresearch base
In progress

What on Earth is Google AlphaEarth?

Lead Developer & Co-Author · Sustainability and Data Sciences Lab, Northeastern University
2026Completed

Investigating interpretability of Google DeepMind's 64-dimensional AlphaEarth satellite embeddings, identifying which dimensions are most predictive for ESA WorldCover land cover classification. The embedding space turns out to be functionally organized but substantially redundant: land cover performance concentrates in a small subset of the 64 dimensions, and which dimensions carry that signal varies by class. Built a full-stack interactive dashboard (React/TypeScript, Python/Polars) for exploring 130K+ experimental records.

Cited in Camps-Valls et al. (Nature Communications, 2026) as one of two examples of mechanistic interpretability revealing internal representations in Earth-system foundation models, alongside work on GraphCast; and in Stewart et al., "Earth Embeddings" (arXiv:2608.03410, 2026).

GeoAIFoundation ModelsReact/TypeScriptPython/PolarsData Visualization
PreprintLive AppApp DOISource
42.3398°N, 71.0892°WBoston, MAresearch base
Completed · in review at IEEE · software published on Zenodo
▼ Preview

Encyclopedia of GIS — Chapter Revisions

Contributing Researcher · Sustainability and Data Sciences Lab, Northeastern University
2026Completed

Updated three chapters from their 2017 publication: 'Climate Extremes and Informing Adaptation,' 'Informing Climate Adaptation with Earth System Models and Big Data,' and 'Climate Adaptation, Introduction.'

Climate ScienceTechnical WritingLiterature Review
42.3398°N, 71.0892°WBoston, MAresearch base
Revisions contributed
II · Infrastructure systems & failure propagation

Networks, Interdependence, & Cascading Risk

Infrastructure systems don't fail in isolation. A downed power line becomes a water outage becomes a shelter crisis. Mapping these hidden dependencies to find the chokepoints that matter most.

Cascading Infrastructure Failure Modeling

Co-Founder and GIS Lead · Enodia Inc.
2025–PresentActive

Animated simulations in ArcGIS Online demonstrating how hurricane scenarios propagate through coupled power and water networks. Identified single-point-of-failure chokepoints where one circuit loss cascades into water supply disruption, school power outage, and residential service loss. Completed NSF I-Corps Spark Program; conducted customer discovery with Maine municipalities.

ArcGIS OnlineNetwork AnalysisCascading FailuresCustomer DiscoveryNSF I-Corps
43.6667°N, 70.2500°WPortland, MEcase study subject
Active · proprietary methodology

Nighttime Lights Verification of Power Shutoff Events

Coauthor · with the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory
2026Active

Built a Python and Google Earth Engine pipeline over VIIRS Black Marble nighttime lights (VNP46A2) and EAGLE-I outage data to test whether nighttime lights can independently verify California Public Safety Power Shutoff de-energization events, using CPUC post-event reports as ground truth. Validated on Hurricane Beryl in Houston, then applied to the SDG&E December 2024 PSPS event. County-level correlation is strong for the hurricane (r ≈ −0.76) and collapses for PSPS events (r ≈ 0.02). That gap is a resolution mismatch rather than a dead end: shutoffs de-energize small rural pockets inside large counties whose bright urban cores dominate the county-level signal, which is precisely what motivates moving to circuit-level SCE geometry.

Part of the NASA Disasters Program PRISM-grid effort. Coauthor on an abstract submitted to AGU Fall Meeting 2026, "Science for a world of socio-ecological-technological systems: Quantifying and qualifying multi-hazard risk for power grid resilience" (submitted, not yet accepted).

Google Earth EngineVIIRS Black MarblePythonEAGLE-IPower GridNASA Disasters
32.7157°N, 117.1611°WSan Diego County, CAPSPS study area
Active · circuit-level analysis underway

Defense Industrial Base Geospatial Analysis

Research Associate · Defense Industrial Base Institute, Northeastern University
2025–PresentActive

Blending quantitative and qualitative analysis into StoryMaps that communicate infrastructure and economic development findings in a form local and state policymakers can act on, across 5+ state engagements, with the furthest-along engagement presented to a state secretary of commerce. Earlier work developed a geodatabase of 300+ U.S. shipyards and repair facilities with 10+ analytical attributes per site, built an interactive ArcGIS Dashboard for internal stakeholder use, managed geospatial data sharing across 20+ users, and cleaned and visualized social capital investment data across U.S. metropolitan areas.

StoryMapsEconomic DevelopmentArcGIS ProGeodatabaseDashboard DesignDefense
42.3398°N, 71.0892°WBoston, MAresearch base
Active

MBTA Commuter Rail Network Modeling

Digital Solutions Co-op · Keolis Commuter Services
2023Completed

Enhanced real-time Python data pipeline in Azure for track change handling across the MBTA Commuter Rail, cross-referencing Amtrak and MBTA schedules. Implemented NetworkX graph model using Dijkstra's algorithm; established framework for South Coast Rail integration. Improved scheduling accuracy for 81K+ daily passengers via XML transformations across 135 stations.

NetworkXPythonAzureReal-Time DataXML
42.3519°N, 71.0552°WSouth Station, Bostonnetwork terminus
Completed
III · Participatory resilience & stakeholder engagement

Building with Communities

Resilience isn't just a modeling problem. It's a listening problem. Working with communities to understand what they actually face, not what we assume they face, and building tools that serve their real needs.

Caribbean Community Resilience Assessment

Undergraduate Research Assistant · Global Resilience Institute, Northeastern University
2025Completed

Collected baseline resilience indicators (transportation, public safety, urbanism) for three communities in St. Thomas, USVI using the I-RES methodology. Created animated population migration timeline from U.S. Census data. Developed StoryMaps for Caribbean infrastructure challenges. Assisted planning collaborative sessions integrating local stakeholder input into resilience assessments.

StoryMapsCensus DataCommunity EngagementI-RES
Coulibistrie, Dominica StoryMapCrab Hill, Barbados StoryMapPile Bay, Barbados StoryMap
18.3358°N, 64.9307°WSt. Thomas, USVIfield site
Completed

3D Digital Heritage — Porto Novo, Benin

Informatics Co-op, GIS Focus · Northeastern University Library
2024Completed

Created 3D panorama tour of Porto Novo, Benin for the African Built Heritage Hub using 3DVista. Processed LiDAR point cloud data into mesh layers for urban-scale 3D models in ArcGIS Online.

3DVistaLiDARPoint CloudsArcGIS OnlineDigital Heritage
African Built Heritage Digital Hub
6.4969°N, 2.6289°EPorto Novo, Beninsubject location
Completed
Talks & Events

Presentations

Conference talks, invited presentations, and events organized.

What on Earth is Google AlphaEarth? Hierarchical Structure and Functional Interpretability for Global Land Cover
Speaker · First International Conference on GeoAI (GeoAI 2026)
June 4, 2026·Ghent, Belgium
What on Earth is Google AlphaEarth?
Featured Speaker · GIS Day 2025, Northeastern University
November 19, 2025·Boston, MA
NULab Feature
GIS Day 2024
Organizer & MC · Northeastern University
2024·Boston, MA

Led planning and execution: coordinated speakers, catering, and logistics, and served as master of ceremonies. Increased attendance four-fold.

Tools & Methods

Instruments I Build

Software and pipelines developed in the course of research: tools for automating geospatial workflows, integrating data sources, and making information accessible.

Nighttime Lights Outage Pipeline2026

Python and Google Earth Engine pipeline over VIIRS Black Marble and EAGLE-I outage data, with a companion script for reconciling PSPS circuit geometry against county-level aggregates

AGOL Batch Publishing Pipeline2026

arcpy pipeline publishing roughly 48 state-level GeoJSONs as ArcGIS Online hosted feature layers

Agentic AI EdTech Chatbot2025↗ Source

RAG-based agentic system using open-source LLMs to answer queries from course materials

MBTA Transit Delay Predictor2025↗ Source

Bayesian and MLP models predicting transit delays from weather data

FastMCP Server — Maine Community Data2025

MCP server integrating Google Sheets community resilience data for AI-assisted municipal research

ArcGIS Online Auto-Update Pipeline2024↗ Source

Python package for real-time feature layer updates via external APIs